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Global Manufacturing PMI ™

J.P.Morgan - IHS Markit



  Dernière mise à jour  
  2 Avr 2020  
   Global  
  Global manufacturing downturn continues in March  
 
Résumé

Key findings

  • Global Manufacturing PMI posts 47.6 in March
  • Downturn in manufacturing production deepens outside of China
  • Supplier lead times lengthen to greatest extent since June 2004


The outbreak of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) continued to cause disruption across the global manufacturing sector in March. Output fell sharply as intakes of new business contracted at the fastest pace since March 2009. The impact also reverberated through supply chains, with vendor lead times lengthening to a near-record extent, and in labour markets as companies cut staff headcounts. Business confidence slumped to a series-record low.

The J.P.Morgan Global Manufacturing PMI – a composite index produced by J.P.Morgan and IHS Markit in association with ISM and IFPSM – rose slightly to 47.6 in March, up from 47.1 in February. This was almost entirely due to a stabilisation of the China PMI (50.1, from 40.3 in February). The Global Excluding Mainland China PMI reading was 46.6 in March, its lowest level since May 2009.

Please note that due to a later release date, final numbers for the Mexico and India Manufacturing PMI surveys were not available to include in the Global PMI calculation.

Manufacturing production continued to fall at a substantial pace in March. Only China among the nations covered by the survey reported an increase in output, and even here this only represented a stabilization from a severe downturn in February. New order intakes contracted at the steepest pace since early-2009, with none of the nations covered seeing an increase. The trend in international trade flows was also substantially impaired, with new export business falling at the quickest pace in almost 11 years.

The downturn was widespread by sub-sector in March. Output, new orders and new export orders all contracted across the consumer, intermediate and investment goods industries. The steepest reductions in both production and new business intakes were registered at investment goods producers.

The downturn at global manufacturers led to further job losses. Employment fell for the fourth successive month, with the rate of decline staying close to February’s ten-and-a-half year record. Among the nations covered by the survey, only Taiwan, Turkey, Malaysia and Colombia reported increases in employment. Staffing levels were lowered across the consumer, intermediate and investment goods sectors.

The outbreak of COVID-19 put substantial stress on global supply chains during March. Transportation disruption, increased border restrictions and company closures all contributed to one of the steepest increases in average vendor lead times in the survey history. This was despite a decrease in the level of raw material purchasing undertaken by manufacturers. Stocks of both pre- and post-production inventories also fell during the latest survey month.

 

 

 
     
  Pays/Région Indice Source Lien  
  Global J.P.Morgan Global Manufacturing PMI ™ IHS Markit  
             

 

Last updated: Jun 19, 2018




 
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